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April 19, 2010
In Today's Issue
- Weight Loss Expert Loses 70lbs of Ugly Fat...
- Warning: H1N1 Flu Hasn't Gone Away...
- Announcing: Doctor Approved Store Cupboard Remedies that Really Work...
Weight Loss Expert Loses 70lbs of Ugly Fat...
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Warning: H1N1 Flu Hasn't Gone Away...
Dear Reader,
It may have dropped from the headlines and nightly news, but H1N1 (swine) flu is still out there.
In fact, from mid January to mid February, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control estimates that 2 million new cases of H1N1 flu were diagnosed. That sounds like a large number, but experts are taking heart in the fact that cumulative estimates of disease are going up much more slowly than before.
Many state and local health departments are now reporting only sporadic cases, while the Deep South and Maine continue to report regional outbreaks of the illness. The H1N1 virus was quick to spread worldwide, leading organizations like the CDC and WHO to move away from keeping counts, and redirect attention toward unique outbreaks.
Since the illness was first seen in April 2009, the CDC estimates...
- 42 million to 86 million H1N1 swine flu cases. Mid-range estimate: 59 million.
- 188,000 to 389,000 H1N1 swine flu hospitalizations. Mid-range estimate: 265,000 hospitalizations.
- 8,520 to 17,620 H1N1 swine flu deaths. Mid-range estimate: 12,000 deaths.
The CDC surveillance data are showing that H1N1 was at its worst in October 2009, and by January 2010 cases had declined to below baseline levels. Incidence dipped further in February.
The worry is that since we know that flu pandemics come in waves, there is every reason to be prepared for a third wave of infections.
This is the reason the CDC is still advising anyone who hasn't yet been vaccinated to get an H1N1 vaccine. In fact, one possible explanation for a delay in another wave of infections could lie with the fact that as of February 2010, 86 million of us have been vaccinated.
Experts caution that while flu activity might be low, people are still getting sick. And serious cases are still sending patients to the hospital. Patients are still dying as a result of this illness.
Also key, assuming that 59 million Americans have had a natural case of swine flu and another 86 million have been vaccinated, this still leaves nearly half the nation vulnerable to the disease.
"There are still uncertainties surrounding the rest of this flu season," the CDC warns. "Flu activity -- caused either by 2009 H1N1 or seasonal flu viruses -- may rise and fall, but is expected to continue for several more weeks." There have been years when flu season has extended into May.
Continues below...
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Warning: H1N1 Flu Hasn't Gone Away... Continued...
Of course no expert is willing to make any type of forecast beyond this, though
everyone's got an eye on the numbers. The challenge with the flu, any flu, is
that it is known for its unpredictability. Experts can make educated guesses,
but no one can say more.
The good news is that since its appearance the H1N1 organism hasn't changed much;
the bad news is that there is always the potential the organism will develop
into one that is more deadly.
And since H1N1 can spread just like the regular seasonal flu, you can pick up
the germ directly from an infected person, or by touching something they just
handled and then touching your face, transferring the organism to your own body.
Now more than ever... keeping up those flu precautions (hand washing, covering
sneezes and coughs, not touching your face, and staying away from those who are
obviously sick) is a smart idea as we move toward the anniversary of H1N1's appearance.
To your good health,
Kirsten Whittaker
Daily Health Bulletin Editor
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Sources:
http://www.webmd.com/cold-and-flu/news/20100315/h1n1-swine-flu-still-smoldering-in-us?src=RSS_PUBLIC
CDC info on 2009 H1N1 flu:
http://www.cdc.gov/H1N1FLU/
MedlinePlus info on H1N1 (swine) flu:
http://www.nlm.nih.gov/medlineplus/h1n1fluswineflu.html
Los Angeles Times opinion, 3.26.10, Wendy Orent, What H1N1 taught us:
http://articles.latimes.com/2010/feb/26/opinion/la-oe-orent26-2010feb26
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